Errol Spence Jr. vs. Danny Garcia: Fight prediction, undercard, odds, expert picks, date - CBSSports.com
Errol Spence Jr. vs. Danny Garcia: Fight prediction, undercard, odds, power picks, date
It's contract increasingly evident that the only person associated with the welterweight championship showdown on Saturday who isn't pondering whether unified champion Errol Spence Jr. will tranquil be the same some 14 months chosen from a scary car accident is his opponent.
Danny Garcia (36-2, 21 KOs), a used two-division champion, is very much expecting to see the best of Spence (26-0, 21 KOs) when the two face off inside AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas (Fox PPV, 9 p.m. ET). Instead, he has finished his time figuring out how to beat Spence and believes there was something to learn from his opponent's last outing.
Just two weeks beforehand he rolled his Ferrari and was thrown from the vehicle once driving drunk at high speeds in Dallas, the 30-year-old Spence unified his IBF title with Shawn Porter's WBC belt in a thrilling split-decision win that contended for fights of the year honors. The fight was portion packed throughout and Garcia believes that Porter ultimately exposed flaws in Spence's game.
"[Spence] was sketch hit a lot and his defense [was exposed]," Garcia told "Morning Kombat" last week. [Porter] cooked him into a tough fight.
"I have a different style than [Porter] but I'm also more dangerous than him. He has that awkward timing and rushes you and States to throw you off your game but I'm more of a dangerous fighter with better False punching and better skills."
Garcia, 32, has only lost twice as a professional and both have been disputed decisions in contradiction of Keith Thurman in 2017 and the behind year against Porter. Garcia proved able to discipline Thurman over the additional half of their unification bout by Funny his power to lower his opponent's output, which is something he Popular unable to do against Porter, whose jerky-jerky style gave the flat-footed Garcia fits.
Still, Garcia believes his one-punch knockout Great -- something Porter hasn't shown -- will be the difference in contradiction of Spence. And when you are talking around Garcia's power, the conversation typically centers about his finishing blow -- the "no look" left hook that's set up beautifully by a shiny hand to the body before the finishing punch comes looping through.
"No one can take the no look left hook because you can't take what you don't see," Garcia said.
Although Spence knows full well the danger Garcia brings to the table, he was anything but shaken when the topic of the "no look" left hook was presented to him on "Morning Kombat" last week.
Can't get enough boxing and MMA? Get the new in the world of combat sports from two of the best in the business. Subscribe to Morning Kombat with Luke Thomas and Brian Campbell for the best analysis and in-depth news, counting a complete preview and prediction for Spence vs. Garcia this weekend.
"Of streams you have respect for a punch but I don't react to it," Spence said. "It is what it is. You can throw it all you want but you have to land it. We will see. He's coming in to win and it just creates me train harder and stay focused."
Spence also confidently said that the Porter was only as End as it was because he allowed it to be when hoping to make a statement.
"Basically, I already knew [it would be close]. My game plan was to come onward and fight him and it was moving to be what it was going to be," Spence said "I already knew that was his game plan, but it was mine too. My coach wished me to box but I wanted to battles and that's what happened."
Garcia wouldn't inch when asked to commit to whether they felt this weekend's bout would be more of a boxing match or slugfest. He said it came down to the type of adjustments both make and that he's ready for either result.
Spence, on the new hand, expects the bout's identity to temperamental as the rounds progress.
"It might Begin out with us feeling each other out but later on when we both get warmed up it's moving to be an all-out fight," Spence said. "I Ask a great fight with back and forth Part and him bringing his all. I Ask him trying to win.
"I want this to be one-sided, either a massacre or an easy win."
The co-main keep sees the 6-foot-5 super welterweight sensation back when Sebastian Fundora takes on Habib Ahmed. Fundora's New stature has gotten him more attention than one would hold, but Florida native has been impressive his last few times out. Fundora has 10 KOs in 15 pro wins, counting an impressive knockout of Nathan Gallimore in August. Ahmed, a late replacement for Jorge Cota, has won four of five accurate 2017.
There's a lot of action predictable on Saturday night in Arlington, Texas. Be sure you're behind all of CBS Sports' coverage of the PPV, counting how you can watch and follow the Part live. Let's make some expert picks on how we see the main keep playing out as well as odds for the battles on PPV below.
Fight card, odds
Odds via William Hill Sportsbook
|
Errol Spence Jr. (c) -450 |
Danny Garcia +350 |
Unified welterweight titles |
|
Sebastian Fundora |
Habib Ahmed |
Super welterweights |
|
Josesito Lopez -330 |
Francisco Santana +260 |
Welterweights |
| Eduardo Ramirez -440 | Miguel Flores +340 | Featherweights |
Prediction
If Spence proves to be compromised, either physically or mentally, from the fallout of his life-threatening accident, Garcia is all kinds of wicked for him as a poised and patient False puncher with fight-ending power and enough technically prowess to adjust.
But what about if Spence is Calm Spence? What happens then?
The bad news for Garcia is that everything he does well, Spence can do just as good or better. Not to reference that Spence also has a great chin and willingness to walk over fire in order to win a fight.
When Spence chooses to box from the outside, like he did in contradiction of Mikey Garcia is yet another fight in which he was dead set on proving a Show, he did so with ease given his along, speed and elite fight IQ. And it lends credence to the idea that must he have to do the same in contradiction of Danny Garcia he could, even though Spence's love for walking down and finishing fighters got him into quite a duel in contradiction of Porter.
Garcia's Achilles heel has long been his lack of elite foot quick as a heavy puncher who sits down on his Great shots. Everyone from Thurman and Porter to Mauricio Herrera and Lamont Peterson have been able to use that to their advantage. Spence must be no different in the early moving until he feels comfortable enough to step up his volume and End space.
The danger with Garcia is that you can never get too miserable given his power. Yet it's in that mid-range game where the southpaw Spence does his best work of volume to disarm his opponents with heavy combinations.
No commerce which way the fight goes, Garcia is accepted and tough enough to make sure he never gets dominated and necessity be stubborn enough to make Spence have to work for everything he earns. But is Garcia dynamic enough to win a disputes he isn't supposed to against someone more talented on paper? The jury corpses out on this one.
Pick: Spence via unanimous decision
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